President Donald Trump in recent days has dismissed fears of a recession and brushed aside the stock market sell-off, going so far as to say, “You can’t really watch the stock market." That's a new message from a leader who has frequently pointed to the market's ups and downs as a reflection of hims....
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The Early Bird Newsletter
The Early Bird Newsletter

Wednesday, March 12th

Good Morning

Equity markets went on a wild ride Tuesday, with the S&P 500 falling more than 1.0% in early trading and then bouncing back to close well off of the day's low. The move was driven by increased tariff tension caused by new tariffs on Canadian goods. However, a late-day reprieve was granted when Ontario's minister suspended planned electric tariffs in exchange for renewed trade talks.

The CPI report will drive Wednesday's action. The February reading of consumer inflation is expected to show inflation moderating compared to the prior month but still high relative to targets. The market needs a Goldilocks number in order to regain traction, not too hot nor too cold, so it doesn't induce fear of higher interest rates or a recession. If not, the sell-off in equity markets could resume and take the S&P 500 down another few hundred basis points.

Featured: Trump’s Secret Weapon (American Alternative)

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Markets

In his own words: Trump takes credit for stock market rises but casts aside blame for sell-off

President Donald Trump in recent days has dismissed fears of a recession and brushed aside the stock market sell-off, going so far as to say, “You can’t really watch the stock market." That's a new message from a leader who has frequently pointed to the market's ups and downs as a reflection of hims...

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From Our Partners

A market crash is coming—here’s when

The stock market cycle I've used to identify the most likely day of the next market crash is the exact same indicator that helped me call the bear market of 2018... the bull market in 2020... the bear market in 2022... the roaring bull markets in 2023 and 2024... and more. I'm convinced it has helped me identify the next big crash too. We are at an important juncture in the markets. Knowing what to do in the months to come is critical.

Click here to check out my full write-up.

Markets

Wall Street rises after encouraging inflation data, but the trade war keeps knocking stocks around

U.S. stock indexes rose Wednesday after Wall Street got some relief from an encouraging inflation update. But even on a rare up day for the market, President Donald Trump’s trade war still knocked stocks around.The S&P 500 gained 0.5% after skidding between an early gain of 1.3% and a later loss...

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Markets

Explainer: What's a recession and why is rising anxiety about it roiling markets?

Stock markets are plunging, consumers and businesses have started to sour on the economy, and economists are marking down their estimates for growth this year, with some even seeing rising odds of a recession

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From Our Partners

Trump and Musk's Skepticism: A Signal To Investors on the Next Big Opportunity?

Recent comments about U.S. gold reserves reveal the desperate search for gold. With central banks stockpiling gold at record rates and prices at all-time highs, the timing is perfect for a domestic supplier to step up and meet demand.

Investor Report: This U.S. Company Sitting on Billions of Dollars of U.S. Gold

Markets

U.S. Stocks Sink, Foreign Markets Soar: 3 ETFs to Ride the Wave

As relentless selling pressure grips U.S. markets and fear mounts, the benchmark SPY ETF has tumbled 4.35% year-to-date as of Monday’s close, now down nearly 9% from its 52-week high. The technology sector has spearheaded the decline, with the QQQ ETF shedding 7.5% YTD and almost 13% from it...

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Markets

NVIDIA Stock Remains Stunningly Undervalued—Here’s Why

Headwinds aside, the outlook for NVIDIA's (NASDAQ: NVDA) growth and long-term profitability is undeniable.  AI is driving results; the company is expanding into new verticals and is forecasted to grow at a double-digit pace for at least the next ten years. Thus, the Q1 2025 sell-off ...

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From Our Partners

A deadly mistake in my prediction…

I thought what happened 25 years ago was a once- in-a-lifetime event… but how wrong I was.

Because here we are, a quarter of a century later, almost to the exact day, and it’s happening again.

Here’s the full story for you.

Markets

Oracle Stock: 5 Reasons This AI Powerhouse Is a Long-Term Buy

Oracle’s (NYSE: ORCL) CQ1 2025 price correction is an opportunity for investors because the market is resetting its outlook and not reversing. The market reset is due to the timing of AI’s tremendous impact on Oracle. Unlike NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA), which claims most of the AI glory t...

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Markets

3 Dividend Picks Standing Strong as Bond Yields Fall

The days of individual market activity are gone. Unlike the past few decades, when investors were able to analyze and study markets on an individual chart basis, today’s market is as interconnected as it has ever been, driving the importance for investors to really keep up with what’s ...

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Markets

US inflation cooled last month, though trade war threatens to lift prices

U.S. inflation slowed last month for the first time since September and a measure of underlying inflation fell to a four-year low, even as widespread tariffs threaten to send prices higher. The consumer price index increased 2.8% in February from a year ago, Wednesday’s report from the Labor Departm...

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Markets

China's shipbuilding dominance poses economic and national security risks for the US, a report says

In only two decades, China has grown to be the dominant player in shipbuilding, claiming more than half of the world's commercial shipbuilding market, while the U.S. share has fallen to just 0.1%, posing serious economic and national security challenges for the U.S. and its allies, according to a re...

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Markets

Joby Aviation: From Prototype to Profitability

Joby Aviation (NYSE: JOBY) has emerged as a pioneering force in the rapidly evolving urban air mobility sector. The company's significant advancements in the electric vertical take-off and landing (eVTOL) industry position it as a frontrunner in the race to revolutionize transportation. Joby Avi...

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Wednesday's Early Bird Stock Of The Day

A Stock With Upcoming Ex-Dividend:Tractor Supply (NASDAQ:TSCO)

Tractor Supply

Tractor Supply Company operates as a rural lifestyle retailer in the United States. The company offers various merchandise, including livestock and equine feed and equipment, poultry, fencing, and sprayers and chemicals; food, treats, and equipment for dogs, cats, and other small animals, as well as dog wellness products; seasonal and recreation products comprising tractors and riders, lawn and garden, bird feeding, power equipment, and other recreational products; truck, tool, and hardware products, such as truck accessories, trailers, generators, lubricants, batteries, and hardware and tools; and clothing, gift, and décor products consist of clothing, footwear, toys, snacks, and decorative merchandise. It provides its products under the 4health, Paws & Claws, American Farmworks, Producer's Pride, Bit & Bridle, Red Shed, Blue Mountain, Redstone, C.E. Schmidt, Retriever, Country Lane, Ridgecut, Countyline, Royal Wing, Country Tuff, Strive, Dumor, Traveller, Farm Table, Treeline, Groundwork, TSC Tractor Supply Co, Huskee, Untamed, and JobSmart brand names. The company operates its retail stores under the Tractor Supply Company, Petsense by Tractor Supply, and Orscheln Farm and Home names; and operates websites under the TractorSupply.com and Petsense.com names. It sells its products to recreational farmers, ranchers, and others. Tractor Supply Company was founded in 1938 and is based in Brentwood, Tennessee.

Should I Buy Tractor Supply Stock? TSCO Bull and Bear Case Explained

These insights were generated using artificial intelligence. They are based on proprietary MarketBeat data, news articles, and custom LLM A.I. algorithms. This analysis of Tractor Supply was last updated on Wednesday, May 07, 2025 at 7:50 PM.

Tractor Supply Bull Case

  • The current stock price is around $50.84, which may present a buying opportunity for investors looking for value.
  • Tractor Supply has a strong market capitalization of approximately $27.03 billion, indicating a solid position in the retail sector.
  • Recent analyst ratings show a consensus of "Moderate Buy," suggesting positive sentiment among market experts.
  • The company has demonstrated resilience with a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio, which indicates financial stability and lower risk for investors.
  • Tractor Supply operates in a niche market as a rural lifestyle retailer, which can provide a unique competitive advantage and growth potential.

Tractor Supply Bear Case

  • Insider selling has been notable, with executives recently selling a significant number of shares, which may raise concerns about the company's future performance.
  • Analysts have recently cut price targets, with some reducing their expectations significantly, indicating potential challenges ahead.
  • The stock has experienced fluctuations, with a 1-year low of $46.85, suggesting volatility that could deter risk-averse investors.
  • Tractor Supply's P/E ratio of 24.92 may indicate that the stock is overvalued compared to its earnings, which could be a red flag for potential investors.
  • Market conditions and economic factors affecting consumer spending in the retail sector could pose risks to Tractor Supply's growth and profitability.
View Today's Stock Pick

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