Stock of the Day

May 15, 2025

AutoZone (AZO)

$3,779.98
+$21.61 (+0.6%)
Market Cap: $63.44B

About AutoZone

AutoZone, Inc. retails and distributes automotive replacement parts and accessories in the United States, Mexico, and Brazil. The company provides various products for cars, sport utility vehicles, vans, and light trucks, including new and remanufactured automotive hard parts, maintenance items, accessories, and non-automotive products. It also offers A/C compressors, batteries and accessories, bearings, belts and hoses, calipers, chassis, clutches, CV axles, engines, fuel pumps, fuses, ignition and lighting products, mufflers, radiators, starters and alternators, thermostats, and water pumps, as well as tire repairs. In addition, the company provides maintenance products, such as antifreeze and windshield washer fluids; brake drums, rotors, shoes, and pads; brake and power steering fluids, and oil and fuel additives; oil and transmission fluids; oil, cabin, air, fuel, and transmission filters; oxygen sensors; paints and accessories; refrigerants and accessories; shock absorbers and struts; spark plugs and wires; and windshield wipers. Further, it offers air fresheners, cell phone accessories, drinks and snacks, floor mats and seat covers, interior and exterior accessories, mirrors, performance products, protectants and cleaners, sealants and adhesives, steering wheel covers, tools, vehicle entertainment systems, and wash and wax products, as well as towing services. Additionally, the company provides a sales program that offers commercial credit and delivery of parts and other products; sells automotive diagnostic and repair software under the ALLDATA brand through alldata.com and alldatadiy.com; and automotive hard parts, maintenance items, accessories, and non-automotive products through autozone.com. AutoZone, Inc. was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee.

AutoZone Bull Case

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in AutoZone, Inc.:

  • AutoZone, Inc. has recently seen a significant increase in its stock price, currently valued at approximately $3,800.01, reflecting strong market confidence and performance.
  • The company has a robust product offering, including the latest automotive parts and accessories, which positions it well in the growing automotive retail market.
  • Recent analyst upgrades indicate positive sentiment, with multiple firms raising their price targets, suggesting potential for further stock appreciation.
  • Institutional ownership is high, with 92.74% of shares held by institutional investors, indicating strong confidence from large financial entities in AutoZone, Inc.'s future performance.
  • AutoZone, Inc. has diversified its revenue streams by offering commercial credit and delivery services, enhancing its market reach and customer base.

AutoZone Bear Case

Investors should be bearish about investing in AutoZone, Inc. for these reasons:

  • Despite recent stock performance, the automotive retail sector can be volatile, influenced by economic downturns and changes in consumer spending habits.
  • High competition in the automotive parts market may pressure margins, as competitors also strive to capture market share with similar product offerings.
  • Recent insider selling, including a significant transaction by the CEO, may raise concerns about the company's future outlook and management confidence.
  • While the company has a strong market position, any disruptions in supply chains or increases in raw material costs could negatively impact profitability.
  • Analyst ratings show a mix of hold and buy recommendations, indicating uncertainty among experts about the stock's short-term performance.

3 Underrated Stocks Quietly Delivering Big Gains

Written By Thomas Hughes on 5/13/2025

Financial success - stock image

The stocks on this list are not high-flying tech names, shoot-for-the-moon startups, or even high-growth names, but they are quietly crushing it for investors. Kroger (NYSE: KR), Casey’s General Stores (NASDAQ: CASY), and Autozone (NYSE: AZO) are all well-established businesses growing at steady and sustainable paces, driving reliable cash flow in good times and bad. The quality of their operations is clearly seen in their share prices, which are trending upward and outperforming the broad market in 2025.

The outlook for 2025 is for their fundamental trends to continue and for shareholders to continue to win. Is there still meat on the bone for new investors? The answer is yes.

Here’s a look at why. 

Kroger, Arguably Better Off Without Albertsons

Kroger’s failed takeover of Albertsons was a blow to the outlook, but the company is arguably better off without it. The new, leaner Kroger is performing well and is set up to deliver significant capital returns to investors while investing in its organic growth. The capital return in 2025 includes a $5 billion accelerated plan compounded by the $2.5 billion remaining on the existing authorization.

The ASR should be completed by the end of FQ3 and will shave a solid double-digit figure off the share count. The reason for the ASR is simple: Kroger amassed a significant capital position in preparation for the Albertsons takeover and is now disbursing it. 

Kroger’s FQ4 2024 results showed contraction, and the FQ1 2025 results may show the same, but these are not the figures investors should be focused on. The reported contraction is due to a tough comp to 2023 and divestitures intended to position the company for the merger and growth.

The organic, adjusted comparable figure, which investors should focus on, rose by a modest single-digit figure in Q4 2024 and is expected to do the same in 2025. Additionally, the company is forecasted to return to growth this year and may exceed expectations due to the low bar set by analysts. Kroger also pays an above-average, reliable dividend with a history of attractive distribution growth, another driver of the stock price in the long term. 

Kroger Stock Chart

Casey’s General Stores Is Growing and Building Leverage for More

Casey’s General Stores is growing via acquisitions, organic store count expansion, and improving comp store sales. The critical factor is that the expansion is primarily self-funded and allows for sufficient cash flow for dividends and share buybacks. The driver in F2025 is the acquisition of Fikes, which boosted revenue growth to 17% in Q3. Organically, comp sales were up, with inside sales up 3.7%, fuel gallons up more than 1%, and margin improving for both. 

Casey’s did not repurchase shares in FQ3 due to the capital requirements of closing on Fikes, but will likely resume them in the current quarter or early in fiscal 2026. As it is, the share count was down slightly at the end of Q3 on a YTD basis, and the company has nearly $300 million left under its authorization.

Casey’s is also a reliable dividend payer with a payout ratio of almost 15% of earnings and a high probability of extending its 25-year history of annual distribution increases to the 50-year mark. 

Caseys General Store Stock chart

Autozone Share Buybacks Keep It in the Buy Zone

Autozone is the leading retailer of replacement and aftermarket parts, accessories, maintenance, and care products for automobiles in the U.S. It also has substantial and growing exposure to markets in Mexico and Brazil, which helps it sustain a modest single-digit growth pace. The critical factors are cash flow, which supports and sustains the growth outlook, a fortress balance sheet, and aggressive share buybacks

Autozone chooses not to pay dividends but instead uses its free cash flow to repurchase shares, reducing the count by more than 3.25% YOY in FQ2. The pace will likely continue because the company has $1.3 billion left under its current authorization, enough for another year of buybacks at the Q2 pace, and cash flow is expected to remain solid.

The forecast for F2025 and 2026 is for growth to continue at a modest single-digit pace, underpinned by steadily rising count and steady to increasing comp sales. 

AZO stock chart

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