Stock of the Day

November 2, 2022

Alliance Resource Partners (ARLP)

$26.44
-$0.06 (-0.2%)
Market Cap: $3.40B

About Alliance Resource Partners

Alliance Resource Partners, L.P., a diversified natural resource company, produces and markets coal primarily to utilities and industrial users in the United States. The company operates through four segments: Illinois Basin Coal Operations, Appalachia Coal Operations, Oil & Gas Royalties, and Coal Royalties. It produces a range of thermal and metallurgical coal with sulfur and heat contents. The company operates seven underground mining complexes in Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia. In addition, it owns and leases oil and gas mineral interests and equity interests; and leases its coal mineral reserves and resources to its mining complexes; and leases land and operates a coal loading terminal on the Ohio River at Mt. Vernon, Indiana. Further, the company offers various mining technology products and services, including data network, communication and tracking systems, mining proximity detection systems, industrial collision avoidance systems, and data and analytics software. It also exports its products. The company was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma.

Today's Trend

Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. (NASDAQ: ARLP) shares moved lower as investors weighed a recent second-quarter earnings miss and mixed analyst revisions against improving cost structure, strong contracted sales and growth in the company’s royalty business.

  • Cost reductions and royalty expansion support the long-term outlook. Alliance’s closure of the high-cost Mettiki mine improved EBITDA margins, while the $206 million AllDale Minerals acquisition expands royalty acreage, adds exposure to the Permian Basin and is expected to be accretive to free cash flow per unit. The investment thesis remains bullish despite near-term earnings pressure. Alliance Resource: The Great Coal Yield
  • Noble Financial raised several earnings forecasts. Noble increased its Q3 2026 EPS estimate to $0.85 from $0.75 and its Q4 estimate to $0.87 from $0.78. It also lifted its long-range forecasts to $2.89 for FY2028, $3.11 for FY2029 and $3.36 for FY2030, signaling confidence in ARLP’s improved profitability and royalty growth. Noble Financial Issues Optimistic Estimate for ARLP Earnings
  • Analyst expectations remain divided. Sidoti raised its FY2026 EPS forecast to $2.57 from $2.50, but lowered estimates for each quarter of FY2027 and reduced its full-year FY2027 forecast to $2.89 from $2.96. The contrasting views highlight uncertainty over coal market conditions and the pace of earnings improvement. Sidoti Research Analysts Reduce Earnings Estimates for ARLP
  • Second-quarter results fell slightly short of expectations. ARLP reported $0.65 in EPS versus the $0.66 consensus and revenue of $551.6 million versus estimates of $554.3 million. Although margin improvements and the Mettiki closure strengthened the business, the double miss may be weighing on near-term investor sentiment.

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